Jacksonville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

066
FXUS62 KMHX 220617
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
117 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure moves overhead today with moderating conditions
expected. High pressure then slides offshore tomorrow and into
early next week with a warming trend continuing. A weak cold
front will move through the area by midweek with mild high
pressure rebuilding in behind it. A stronger cold front will
cross the area late Thursday or Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
As of 1 AM Sat...Quiet conditions will continue for the rest of
the overnight hours will high pressure nearly overhead. Calm
winds and clear skies have led to exceptional radiational
cooling conditions, and temps have dropped into the lower 20s
inland, and low 30s across the coast. Expect readings in the
teens inland, and 20s along the coast by sunrise. A residual
snowpack across the northern coastal plain (north of US 264) and
eastward to the Alligator River should allow temps to radiate
even further, and here temps in the lower teens (<15 F) are
likely, and a Cold Weather Advisory continues here.

High pressure will move overhead today, with below normal but
moderating conditions anticipated. Skies will initially be
clear, but a passing upper level wave will produce areas of
thick high based cirrus in the afternoon, leading to overcast
conditions. Low level thicknesses support temperatures rising
into the upper 40s to around 50 for most of Eastern NC, while a
melting snowpack may keep areas north of US 264 a couple of
degrees cooler.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 1 AM Sat...As high pressure shifts offshore tonight, a
weakness will develop between it and another area of high
pressure over the Tennessee Valley. This weakness, an inverted
coastal trough will likely pass by harmlessly across the
nearshore coastal waters overnight. Forecast trends continue to
indicate that any showers from this feature will remain
offshore.

Far removed from the trough inland, good radiational conditions
will eventually develop once skies clear this evening. Expect
lows to reach the low to mid 20s inland, and the 30s along the
coast, with the coldest temps likely over areas that retain a
snowpack (this may not be an extensive area after melting
today).

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 130 PM Friday...The models have been trending drier with
their forecasts for eastern NC through mid to late next week
indicating only minor amounts of precipitation at best through
Friday. This is a concern because all of eastern NC is in a
Moderate to Severe drought, Temps will be warming next week with
highs in the 60s Mon-Thu.

Saturday night-Sunday: Sprawling high pressure will be over
much of the eastern US over the weekend producing dry
conditions. The cold will hang on through Sat with lows inland
Sat night in the mid to upper 20s. Temps will moderate on Sunday
into the 50s.

Early to late next week: High pressure will continue across the
area for much of next week with temps forecast to be a little
above normal in the 60s through Thu. This will continue the dry
weather pattern. Early next week has continued to trend drier as
a weak coastal low is expected to remain well offshore. A cold
front is forecast to cross the area Thu night. This will bring a
chance for showers to the area but again most of the guidance
is indicating only very light amounts of rainfall which will do
little to ease the drought conditions. Highs will be in the 60s
through Thu, cooling into the 50s Fri behind the front.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /Through Sunday Morning/...
As of 1 AM Sat...VFR conditions are expected through the TAF
period with dry high pressure over the region. Clear skies and
calm winds will continue the rest of the night. High based
clouds will move over the area this afternoon, with winds
remaining very light.

LONG TERM /Saturday evening through Wednesday/...
As of 2 PM Friday...Expecting mainly VFR conditions Saturday
evening- Tuesday as high pressure remains across the area.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /Through Saturday Night/...
As of 1 AM Sat...High pressure will move overhead today keeping
winds light. As a result, great boating conditions are expected
through tonight. Winds will steadily weaken out of the north
this morning, and then become light and variable the rest of the
day. By tonight, winds will turn to the west and northwest at
5-10 kts. 3-5 ft seas will linger this morning, but then seas
will subside to 2-4 ft through tonight.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 215 PM Friday...Good boating weather is expected through
the weekend through early next week as high pressure continues
over the waters. Winds become W-NW 10-15 kt early Sunday then
diminish again to 10 kt or less Sunday afternoon. Mon will see
light and variable winds become SW in the afternoon. Tue winds
are forecast to be out of the SW 10-15 kt. Sat, 3-5 ft seas will
subside to 2-4 ft, ten will be mainly 2-3 ft Sunday- Tue.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for NCZ029-
     044>046-079-080.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...SGK
SHORT TERM...SGK
LONG TERM...JME/RJ
AVIATION...JME/SGK
MARINE...JME/SGK